The Delphi Method is a structured communication technique used to gather expert opinions and reach a consensus on complex issues, particularly in forecasting, policy-making, and research.
Key Characteristics:
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Panel of Experts: A group of knowledgeable individuals on a particular topic is selected.
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Multiple Rounds: Experts respond to questionnaires in two or more rounds.
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Anonymity: Participants remain anonymous to each other to avoid influence or bias.
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Controlled Feedback: After each round, a facilitator provides a summary of the group’s responses, and experts can revise their earlier answers.
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Consensus Building: Through iteration, the group tends to converge toward a common viewpoint or a well-defined range of opinions.
When to Use:
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When expert judgment is critical.
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When issues are complex and lack definitive data.
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In areas like technology forecasting, curriculum development, and policy analysis.
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